Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning.
Identifieur interne : 000050 ( PubMed/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000049; suivant : 000051Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning.
Auteurs : Matthew Biggerstaff [États-Unis] ; Fredrick Scott Dahlgren [États-Unis] ; Julia Fitzner [Suisse] ; Dylan George [États-Unis] ; Aspen Hammond [Suisse] ; Ian Hall [Royaume-Uni] ; David Haw [Royaume-Uni] ; Natsuko Imai [Royaume-Uni] ; Michael A. Johansson [États-Unis] ; Sarah Kramer [États-Unis] ; James M. Mccaw [Australie] ; Robert Moss [Australie] ; Richard Pebody [Royaume-Uni] ; Jonathan M. Read [Royaume-Uni] ; Carrie Reed [États-Unis] ; Nicholas G. Reich [États-Unis] ; Steven Riley [Royaume-Uni] ; Katelijn Vandemaele [Suisse] ; Cecile Viboud [États-Unis] ; Joseph T. Wu [République populaire de Chine]Source :
- Influenza and other respiratory viruses [ 1750-2659 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year-to-year and week-to-week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for and responding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinely collect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data on circulating subtypes and use these data for situational awareness, burden of disease estimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling are increasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key features of influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can be translated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informing clinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza Incidence Analytics Group (IIAG), a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics and modelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real-time and thus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data to WHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to health planners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to be immediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code. We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide an attractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonal epidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.
DOI: 10.1111/irv.12705
PubMed: 32096594
Affiliations:
- Australie, Royaume-Uni, République populaire de Chine, Suisse, États-Unis
- Angleterre, District de Columbia, Grand Londres, Grand Manchester, Géorgie (États-Unis), Massachusetts, Victoria (État), État de New York
- Amherst (Massachusetts), Londres, Manchester, Melbourne, New York
- Université Columbia, Université de Manchester, Université de Melbourne, Université du Massachusetts
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Fredrick Scott" uniqKey="Dahlgren F" first="Fredrick Scott" last="Dahlgren">Fredrick Scott Dahlgren</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fitzner, Julia" sort="Fitzner, Julia" uniqKey="Fitzner J" first="Julia" last="Fitzner">Julia Fitzner</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="George, Dylan" sort="George, Dylan" uniqKey="George D" first="Dylan" last="George">Dylan George</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>InQTel Inc, Washington, DC, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>InQTel Inc, Washington, DC</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">District de Columbia</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hammond, Aspen" sort="Hammond, Aspen" uniqKey="Hammond A" first="Aspen" last="Hammond">Aspen Hammond</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hall, Ian" sort="Hall, Ian" uniqKey="Hall I" first="Ian" last="Hall">Ian Hall</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Mathematics and School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Mathematics and School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Manchester</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Manchester</region></placeName><orgName type="university">Université de Manchester</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Haw, David" sort="Haw, David" uniqKey="Haw D" first="David" last="Haw">David Haw</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Imai, Natsuko" sort="Imai, Natsuko" uniqKey="Imai N" first="Natsuko" last="Imai">Natsuko Imai</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Johansson, Michael A" sort="Johansson, Michael A" uniqKey="Johansson M" first="Michael A" last="Johansson">Michael A. Johansson</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, PR, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, PR</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>PR</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kramer, Sarah" sort="Kramer, Sarah" uniqKey="Kramer S" first="Sarah" last="Kramer">Sarah Kramer</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">État de New York</region><settlement type="city">New York</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Columbia</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Mccaw, James M" sort="Mccaw, James M" uniqKey="Mccaw J" first="James M" last="Mccaw">James M. Mccaw</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic.</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Melbourne</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement><region type="état">Victoria (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Moss, Robert" sort="Moss, Robert" uniqKey="Moss R" first="Robert" last="Moss">Robert Moss</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Australie</country><wicri:regionArea>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic.</wicri:regionArea><orgName type="university">Université de Melbourne</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Melbourne</settlement><region type="état">Victoria (État)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Pebody, Richard" sort="Pebody, Richard" uniqKey="Pebody R" first="Richard" last="Pebody">Richard Pebody</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>Immunisation and Countermeasures Division, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Immunisation and Countermeasures Division, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Read, Jonathan M" sort="Read, Jonathan M" uniqKey="Read J" first="Jonathan M" last="Read">Jonathan M. Read</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Faculty of Health and Medicine, Lancaster University, Lancashire, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Faculty of Health and Medicine, Lancaster University, Lancashire</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Lancashire</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reed, Carrie" sort="Reed, Carrie" uniqKey="Reed C" first="Carrie" last="Reed">Carrie Reed</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Géorgie (États-Unis)</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Reich, Nicholas G" sort="Reich, Nicholas G" uniqKey="Reich N" first="Nicholas G" last="Reich">Nicholas G. Reich</name><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region><settlement type="city">Amherst (Massachusetts)</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université du Massachusetts</orgName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Riley, Steven" sort="Riley, Steven" uniqKey="Riley S" first="Steven" last="Riley">Steven Riley</name><affiliation wicri:level="3"><nlm:affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Royaume-Uni</country><wicri:regionArea>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Londres</settlement><region type="country">Angleterre</region><region type="région" nuts="1">Grand Londres</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Vandemaele, Katelijn" sort="Vandemaele, Katelijn" uniqKey="Vandemaele K" first="Katelijn" last="Vandemaele">Katelijn Vandemaele</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">Suisse</country><wicri:regionArea>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Geneva</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cecile" last="Viboud">Cecile Viboud</name><affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MA, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MA</wicri:regionArea><placeName><region type="state">Massachusetts</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Wu, Joseph T" sort="Wu, Joseph T" uniqKey="Wu J" first="Joseph T" last="Wu">Joseph T. Wu</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country><wicri:regionArea>WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong SAR</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Influenza and other respiratory viruses</title><idno type="eISSN">1750-2659</idno><imprint><date when="2020" type="published">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year-to-year and week-to-week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for and responding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinely collect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data on circulating subtypes and use these data for situational awareness, burden of disease estimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling are increasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key features of influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can be translated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informing clinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza Incidence Analytics Group (IIAG), a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics and modelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real-time and thus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data to WHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to health planners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to be immediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code. We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide an attractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonal epidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="In-Process" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">32096594</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>04</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1750-2659</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>14</Volume><Issue>2</Issue><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>03</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>Influenza and other respiratory viruses</Title><ISOAbbreviation>Influenza Other Respir Viruses</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>105-110</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1111/irv.12705</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>Health planners from global to local levels must anticipate year-to-year and week-to-week variation in seasonal influenza activity when planning for and responding to epidemics to mitigate their impact. To help with this, countries routinely collect incidence of mild and severe respiratory illness and virologic data on circulating subtypes and use these data for situational awareness, burden of disease estimates and severity assessments. Advanced analytics and modelling are increasingly used to aid planning and response activities by describing key features of influenza activity for a given location and generating forecasts that can be translated to useful actions such as enhanced risk communications, and informing clinical supply chains. Here, we describe the formation of the Influenza Incidence Analytics Group (IIAG), a coordinated global effort to apply advanced analytics and modelling to public influenza data, both epidemiological and virologic, in real-time and thus provide additional insights to countries who provide routine surveillance data to WHO. Our objectives are to systematically increase the value of data to health planners by applying advanced analytics and forecasting and for results to be immediately reproducible and deployable using an open repository of data and code. We expect the resources we develop and the associated community to provide an attractive option for the open analysis of key epidemiological data during seasonal epidemics and the early stages of an influenza pandemic.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>© 2019 The Authors. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Biggerstaff</LastName><ForeName>Matthew</ForeName><Initials>M</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0001-5108-8311</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Dahlgren</LastName><ForeName>Fredrick Scott</ForeName><Initials>FS</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-1790-2804</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Fitzner</LastName><ForeName>Julia</ForeName><Initials>J</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>George</LastName><ForeName>Dylan</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>InQTel Inc, Washington, DC, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hammond</LastName><ForeName>Aspen</ForeName><Initials>A</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hall</LastName><ForeName>Ian</ForeName><Initials>I</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-3033-2335</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Mathematics and School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Haw</LastName><ForeName>David</ForeName><Initials>D</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Imai</LastName><ForeName>Natsuko</ForeName><Initials>N</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-4218-9716</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Johansson</LastName><ForeName>Michael A</ForeName><Initials>MA</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-5090-7722</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, PR, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Kramer</LastName><ForeName>Sarah</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>McCaw</LastName><ForeName>James M</ForeName><Initials>JM</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-2452-3098</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Moss</LastName><ForeName>Robert</ForeName><Initials>R</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-4568-2012</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Modelling and Simulation Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Pebody</LastName><ForeName>Richard</ForeName><Initials>R</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Immunisation and Countermeasures Division, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Read</LastName><ForeName>Jonathan M</ForeName><Initials>JM</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-9697-0962</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Centre for Health Informatics, Computing, and Statistics, Lancaster Medical School, Faculty of Health and Medicine, Lancaster University, Lancashire, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Reed</LastName><ForeName>Carrie</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Reich</LastName><ForeName>Nicholas G</ForeName><Initials>NG</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-3503-9899</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Riley</LastName><ForeName>Steven</ForeName><Initials>S</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0001-7904-4804</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Vandemaele</LastName><ForeName>Katelijn</ForeName><Initials>K</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Global Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Viboud</LastName><ForeName>Cecile</ForeName><Initials>C</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MA, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Wu</LastName><ForeName>Joseph T</ForeName><Initials>JT</Initials><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><GrantList CompleteYN="Y"><Grant><GrantID>200861/Z/16/Z</GrantID><Acronym>WT_</Acronym><Agency>Wellcome Trust</Agency><Country>United Kingdom</Country></Grant><Grant><Acronym>DH_</Acronym><Agency>Department of Health</Agency><Country>United Kingdom</Country></Grant><Grant><GrantID>T32ES023770</GrantID><Agency>US National Institutes of Health</Agency><Country>International</Country></Grant><Grant><GrantID>GM110748</GrantID><Agency>US National Institutes of Health</Agency><Country>International</Country></Grant><Grant><GrantID>200187/Z/15/Z</GrantID><Acronym>WT_</Acronym><Agency>Wellcome Trust</Agency><Country>United Kingdom</Country></Grant><Grant><GrantID>T32 ES023770</GrantID><Acronym>ES</Acronym><Agency>NIEHS NIH HHS</Agency><Country>United States</Country></Grant><Grant><GrantID>MR/R015600/1</GrantID><Acronym>MRC_</Acronym><Agency>Medical Research Council</Agency><Country>United Kingdom</Country></Grant></GrantList><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D052061">Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2019</Year><Month>12</Month><Day>03</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>Influenza Other Respir Viruses</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>101304007</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>1750-2640</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">forecasting</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">incidence</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">influenza</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2019</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>18</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="revised"><Year>2019</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>07</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2019</Year><Month>11</Month><Day>08</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2020</Year><Month>2</Month><Day>26</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate 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York</li></region><settlement><li>Amherst (Massachusetts)</li><li>Londres</li><li>Manchester</li><li>Melbourne</li><li>New York</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université Columbia</li><li>Université de Manchester</li><li>Université de Melbourne</li><li>Université du Massachusetts</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Géorgie (États-Unis)"><name sortKey="Biggerstaff, Matthew" sort="Biggerstaff, Matthew" uniqKey="Biggerstaff M" first="Matthew" last="Biggerstaff">Matthew Biggerstaff</name></region><name sortKey="Dahlgren, Fredrick Scott" sort="Dahlgren, Fredrick Scott" uniqKey="Dahlgren F" first="Fredrick Scott" last="Dahlgren">Fredrick Scott Dahlgren</name><name sortKey="George, Dylan" sort="George, Dylan" uniqKey="George D" first="Dylan" last="George">Dylan George</name><name sortKey="Johansson, Michael A" sort="Johansson, Michael A" uniqKey="Johansson M" first="Michael A" last="Johansson">Michael A. Johansson</name><name sortKey="Kramer, Sarah" sort="Kramer, Sarah" uniqKey="Kramer S" first="Sarah" last="Kramer">Sarah Kramer</name><name sortKey="Reed, Carrie" sort="Reed, Carrie" uniqKey="Reed C" first="Carrie" last="Reed">Carrie Reed</name><name sortKey="Reich, Nicholas G" sort="Reich, Nicholas G" uniqKey="Reich N" first="Nicholas G" last="Reich">Nicholas G. Reich</name><name sortKey="Viboud, Cecile" sort="Viboud, Cecile" uniqKey="Viboud C" first="Cecile" last="Viboud">Cecile Viboud</name></country><country name="Suisse"><noRegion><name sortKey="Fitzner, Julia" sort="Fitzner, Julia" uniqKey="Fitzner J" first="Julia" last="Fitzner">Julia Fitzner</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Hammond, Aspen" sort="Hammond, Aspen" uniqKey="Hammond A" first="Aspen" last="Hammond">Aspen Hammond</name><name sortKey="Vandemaele, Katelijn" sort="Vandemaele, Katelijn" uniqKey="Vandemaele K" first="Katelijn" last="Vandemaele">Katelijn Vandemaele</name></country><country name="Royaume-Uni"><region name="Angleterre"><name sortKey="Hall, Ian" sort="Hall, Ian" uniqKey="Hall I" first="Ian" last="Hall">Ian Hall</name></region><name sortKey="Haw, David" sort="Haw, David" uniqKey="Haw D" first="David" last="Haw">David Haw</name><name sortKey="Imai, Natsuko" sort="Imai, Natsuko" uniqKey="Imai N" first="Natsuko" last="Imai">Natsuko Imai</name><name sortKey="Pebody, Richard" sort="Pebody, Richard" uniqKey="Pebody R" first="Richard" last="Pebody">Richard Pebody</name><name sortKey="Read, Jonathan M" sort="Read, Jonathan M" uniqKey="Read J" first="Jonathan M" last="Read">Jonathan M. Read</name><name sortKey="Riley, Steven" sort="Riley, Steven" uniqKey="Riley S" first="Steven" last="Riley">Steven Riley</name></country><country name="Australie"><region name="Victoria (État)"><name sortKey="Mccaw, James M" sort="Mccaw, James M" uniqKey="Mccaw J" first="James M" last="Mccaw">James M. Mccaw</name></region><name sortKey="Moss, Robert" sort="Moss, Robert" uniqKey="Moss R" first="Robert" last="Moss">Robert Moss</name></country><country name="République populaire de Chine"><noRegion><name sortKey="Wu, Joseph T" sort="Wu, Joseph T" uniqKey="Wu J" first="Joseph T" last="Wu">Joseph T. Wu</name></noRegion></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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